Is SEED or SMG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) and Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SEED has a Quality of Company score of 5.2/10 while SMG scores 7.2/10.

Which is a better buy — SEED or SMG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SEED and SMG valuations compare?

SEED at $1.13 and SMG at $60.48 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SEED vs SMG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SEED

Agricultural Inputs

Origin Agritech Limited

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.13

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

SMG

Agricultural Inputs

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$60.48

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SEED Fair Value	SEED Upside	SMG Fair Value	SMG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.46	-59.4%	$11.54	-80.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.74	-36.8%	$6.41	-89.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SEED vs SMG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SMG scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs SEED's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) and Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The (SMG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SEED currently trades at $1.13 with a QOC of 5.2/10, while SMG trades at $60.48 with a QOC of 7.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).