RTX vs SIDU

RTX Corporation vs Sidus Space, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — RTX scores higher on quality with 5.1/10 vs SIDU's 4.5/10. RTX trades at $174.26 while SIDU trades at $4.91. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

RTX

Aerospace & Defense
RTX Corporation
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
36
LOW
Price
$174.26
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

SIDU

Aerospace & Defense
Sidus Space, Inc.
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$4.91
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
RTX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
SIDU
2 models active
Quality 4.5/10 — below average

RTX vs SIDU — Fair Value Comparison

RTX
$0$69$137$206 Price$174.26 Bayesian …$15.95 (-90.8%) Earnings …$33.08 (-81.0%)
SIDU
$0$2$4$6 Price$4.91 Bayesian …$1.44 (-70.6%) Dynamic N…$0.39 (-92.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType RTX Fair ValueRTX Upside SIDU Fair ValueSIDU Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $15.95 -90.8% $1.44 -70.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $33.08 -81.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $0.39 -92.0%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

RTX vs SIDU — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

RTX scores higher with a 5.1/10 quality rating vs SIDU's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do RTX and SIDU Valuations Compare?

At $174.26, RTX trades +90.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.95, while SIDU at $4.91 trades +70.6% above its estimate of $1.44. RTX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: RTX vs SIDU

RTX earns a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 compared to SIDU's 4.5/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: RTX vs SIDU

RTX carries a LOW value trap risk (36/100) while SIDU shows SAFE risk (18/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both RTX and SIDU operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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