Is RLJ or RWT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) and Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. RLJ has a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 while RWT scores 5.3/10.

Which is a better buy — RLJ or RWT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do RLJ and RWT valuations compare?

RLJ at $9.73 and RWT at $5.42 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

RLJ vs RWT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

RLJ

Real Estate Investment Trusts

RLJ Lodging Trust

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.73

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

RWT

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Redwood Trust, Inc.

Quality

5.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.42

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	RLJ Fair Value	RLJ Upside	RWT Fair Value	RWT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.82	-66.0%	$1.11	-79.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$3.38	-41.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$9.39	-3.5%	$6.45	+21.8%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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RLJ vs RWT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

RLJ scores higher with a 6.2/10 quality rating vs RWT's 5.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) and Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

RLJ currently trades at $9.73 with a QOC of 6.2/10, while RWT trades at $5.42 with a QOC of 5.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).