PNBK vs PROV

Patriot National Bancorp Inc. vs Provident Financial Holdings, I — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — PROV scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs PNBK's 5.2/10. PNBK trades at $1.11 while PROV trades at $16.91. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

PNBK

Banks - Regional
Patriot National Bancorp Inc.
Quality
5.2
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$1.11
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

PROV

Banks - Regional
Provident Financial Holdings, I
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
20
SAFE
Price
$16.91
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
PNBK
Earnings Power Value sees +130.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
PROV
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

PNBK vs PROV — Fair Value Comparison

PNBK
$0$1$2$3 Price$1.11 Bayesian …$0.56 (-49.9%) Earnings …$2.72 (+130.1%)
PROV
$0$7$13$20 Price$16.91 Bayesian …$1.91 (-88.7%) EROIC Spr…$6.93 (-59.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType PNBK Fair ValuePNBK Upside PROV Fair ValuePROV Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.56 -49.9% $1.91 -88.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $2.72 +130.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $0.71 -36.1% $6.93 -59.0%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

PNBK vs PROV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

PROV scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs PNBK's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do PNBK and PROV Valuations Compare?

At $1.11, PNBK trades +49.9% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.56, while PROV at $16.91 trades +88.7% above its estimate of $1.91. PROV shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: PNBK vs PROV

PNBK earns a Quality of Company score of 5.2/10 compared to PROV's 7.4/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: PNBK vs PROV

PNBK carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while PROV shows SAFE risk (20/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both PNBK and PROV operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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