PFS vs PNBK

Provident Financial Services, I vs Patriot National Bancorp Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — PFS scores higher on quality with 8.6/10 vs PNBK's 5.2/10. PFS trades at $22.25 while PNBK trades at $1.11. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

PFS

Banks - Regional
Provident Financial Services, I
Quality
8.6
out of 10
Value Trap
26
LOW
Price
$22.25
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

PNBK

Banks - Regional
Patriot National Bancorp Inc.
Quality
5.2
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$1.11
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
PFS
Quality Score 8.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
PNBK
Earnings Power Value sees +130.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

PFS vs PNBK — Fair Value Comparison

PFS
$0$9$18$26 Price$22.25 Bayesian …$4.38 (-80.3%) Earnings …$4.92 (-78.2%)
PNBK
$0$1$2$3 Price$1.11 Bayesian …$0.56 (-49.9%) Earnings …$2.72 (+130.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType PFS Fair ValuePFS Upside PNBK Fair ValuePNBK Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $4.38 -80.3% $0.56 -49.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.92 -78.2% $2.72 +130.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

PFS vs PNBK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

PFS scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs PNBK's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do PFS and PNBK Valuations Compare?

At $22.25, PFS trades +80.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.38, while PNBK at $1.11 trades +49.9% above its estimate of $0.56. PFS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: PFS vs PNBK

PFS earns a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 compared to PNBK's 5.2/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: PFS vs PNBK

PFS carries a LOW value trap risk (26/100) while PNBK shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both PFS and PNBK operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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