Is ORN or PHOE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) and Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ORN has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while PHOE scores 2.3/10.

Which is a better buy — ORN or PHOE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ORN and PHOE valuations compare?

ORN at $14.34 and PHOE at $16.29 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ORN vs PHOE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ORN

Engineering & Construction

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.34

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

PHOE

Engineering & Construction

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited

Quality

2.3

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$16.29

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ORN Fair Value	ORN Upside	PHOE Fair Value	PHOE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.70	-87.9%	$4.30	-73.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.18	-98.7%	$0.67	-96.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ORN vs PHOE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ORN scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs PHOE's 2.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) and Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ORN currently trades at $14.34 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while PHOE trades at $16.29 with a QOC of 2.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).