Is ORC or PEB more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) and Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ORC has a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 while PEB scores 6.5/10.

Which is a better buy — ORC or PEB?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ORC and PEB valuations compare?

ORC at $6.78 and PEB at $15.25 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ORC vs PEB Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ORC

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$6.78

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

PEB

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$15.25

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ORC Fair Value	ORC Upside	PEB Fair Value	PEB Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$16.02	+136.3%	$7.64	-48.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$11.07	+63.2%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	—	—	$5.90	-61.3%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ORC vs PEB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ORC scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs PEB's 6.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) and Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ORC currently trades at $6.78 with a QOC of 9.0/10, while PEB trades at $15.25 with a QOC of 6.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).