Is OBE or PED more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) and Pedevco Corp. (PED) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OBE has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while PED scores 5.9/10.

Which is a better buy — OBE or PED?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OBE and PED valuations compare?

OBE at $10.95 and PED at $12.85 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OBE vs PED Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OBE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Obsidian Energy Ltd.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$10.95

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

PED

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Pedevco Corp.

Quality

5.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$12.85

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OBE Fair Value	OBE Upside	PED Fair Value	PED Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.35	-69.4%	$11.92	-7.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$15.84	+25.2%	$25.99	+102.2%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for OBE vs PED — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

OBE vs PED — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

PED scores higher with a 5.9/10 quality rating vs OBE's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) and Pedevco Corp. (PED) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OBE currently trades at $10.95 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while PED trades at $12.85 with a QOC of 5.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).