Is OBE or OXY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) and Occidental Petroleum Corporatio (OXY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OBE has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while OXY scores 5.6/10.

Which is a better buy — OBE or OXY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OBE and OXY valuations compare?

OBE at $10.95 and OXY at $56.63 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OBE vs OXY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OBE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Obsidian Energy Ltd.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$10.95

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

OXY

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Occidental Petroleum Corporatio

Quality

5.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$56.63

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OBE Fair Value	OBE Upside	OXY Fair Value	OXY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.35	-69.4%	$20.84	-63.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$1.10	-98.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$15.84	+25.2%	$77.44	+36.8%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OBE vs OXY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OXY scores higher with a 5.6/10 quality rating vs OBE's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) and Occidental Petroleum Corporatio (OXY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OBE currently trades at $10.95 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while OXY trades at $56.63 with a QOC of 5.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).