Is NVS or OGN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Novartis AG (NVS) and Organon & Co. (OGN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NVS has a Quality of Company score of 2.4/10 while OGN scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — NVS or OGN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NVS and OGN valuations compare?

NVS at $151.40 and OGN at $13.35 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NVS vs OGN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NVS

Drug Manufacturers - General

Novartis AG

Quality

2.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$151.40

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

OGN

Drug Manufacturers - General

Organon & Co.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$13.35

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NVS Fair Value	NVS Upside	OGN Fair Value	OGN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$38.01	-74.9%	$6.82	-48.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$96.94	-34.7%	$8.09	-39.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NVS vs OGN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OGN scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs NVS's 2.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Novartis AG (NVS) and Organon & Co. (OGN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NVS currently trades at $151.40 with a QOC of 2.4/10, while OGN trades at $13.35 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).