NOG vs OXY

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. vs Occidental Petroleum Corporatio — Valuation Comparison 2026

NOG

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
Quality
6.5
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$21.77
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

OXY

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Occidental Petroleum Corporatio
Quality
5.6
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$56.63
Last close
Models
13/13
Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType NOG Fair ValueNOG Upside OXY Fair ValueOXY Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic — — $20.84 -63.2%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic — — $1.10 -98.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $19.79 -17.3% $77.44 +36.8%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $103.97 +377.6% $107.10 +89.1%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
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NOG vs OXY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NOG scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs OXY's 5.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) and Occidental Petroleum Corporatio (OXY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NOG currently trades at $21.77 with a QOC of 6.5/10, while OXY trades at $56.63 with a QOC of 5.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

NOG
View Full Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Analysis →
OXY
View Full Occidental Petroleum Corporatio Analysis →