Is NIO or OSK more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares NIO Inc. (NIO) and Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NIO has a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 while OSK scores 4.9/10.

Which is a better buy — NIO or OSK?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NIO and OSK valuations compare?

NIO at $5.60 and OSK at $130.00 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NIO vs OSK Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NIO

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

NIO Inc.

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.60

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

OSK

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$130.00

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NIO Fair Value	NIO Upside	OSK Fair Value	OSK Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.53	-90.6%	$58.37	-55.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$6.10	+3.3%	$60.21	-53.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NIO vs OSK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NIO scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs OSK's 4.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing NIO Inc. (NIO) and Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NIO currently trades at $5.60 with a QOC of 6.8/10, while OSK trades at $130.00 with a QOC of 4.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).