Is NFG or NJR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) and NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NFG has a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 while NJR scores 9.6/10.

Which is a better buy — NFG or NJR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NFG and NJR valuations compare?

NFG at $77.25 and NJR at $55.25 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NFG vs NJR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NFG

Natural Gas Distribution

National Fuel Gas Company

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$77.25

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

NJR

Natural Gas Distribution

NewJersey Resources Corporation

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$55.25

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NFG Fair Value	NFG Upside	NJR Fair Value	NJR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$16.47	-79.6%	$65.38	+18.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$53.90	-30.2%	$3.13	-94.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NFG vs NJR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NJR scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs NFG's 9.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) and NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NFG currently trades at $77.25 with a QOC of 9.4/10, while NJR trades at $55.25 with a QOC of 9.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).