Is NEU or SAFX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares NewMarket Corp (NEU) and XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NEU has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while SAFX scores 4.4/10.

Which is a better buy — NEU or SAFX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NEU and SAFX valuations compare?

NEU at $773.58 and SAFX at $0.50 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NEU vs SAFX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NEU

Industrial Organic Chemicals

NewMarket Corp

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$773.58

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

SAFX

Industrial Organic Chemicals

XCF Global, Inc.

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$0.50

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NEU Fair Value	NEU Upside	SAFX Fair Value	SAFX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$225.27	-70.9%	$1.33	+168.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$268.14	-65.3%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$1177.74	+52.2%	$2.39	+380.9%

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NEU vs SAFX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NEU scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs SAFX's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing NewMarket Corp (NEU) and XCF Global, Inc. (SAFX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NEU currently trades at $773.58 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while SAFX trades at $0.50 with a QOC of 4.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).