MTW vs TWI

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) vs Titan International, Inc. (DE) — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TWI scores higher on quality with 7.2/10 vs MTW's 6.8/10. MTW trades at $12.28 while TWI trades at $7.71. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MTW

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)
Quality
6.8
out of 10
Value Trap
16
SAFE
Price
$12.28
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

TWI

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Titan International, Inc. (DE)
Quality
7.2
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$7.71
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
MTW
EROIC Spread sees +30.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TWI
First Chicago sees +327.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MTW vs TWI — Fair Value Comparison

MTW
$0$6$13$19 Price$12.28 Bayesian …$0.76 (-93.4%) EROIC Spr…$15.98 (+30.1%)
TWI
$0$13$26$39 Price$7.71 Earnings …$4.36 (-44.6%) First Chi…$32.93 (+327.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MTW Fair ValueMTW Upside TWI Fair ValueTWI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.76 -93.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.36 -44.6%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $15.98 +30.1% $4.14 -46.3%
First Chicago Scenario $14.24 +16.0% $32.93 +327.1%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MTW vs TWI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TWI scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs MTW's 6.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MTW and TWI Valuations Compare?

MTW currently trades at $12.28 while TWI trades at $7.71. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: MTW vs TWI

MTW earns a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 compared to TWI's 7.2/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MTW vs TWI

MTW carries a SAFE value trap risk (16/100) while TWI shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Both MTW and TWI operate in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, which has 24 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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