Is MSGS or NFLX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MSGS has a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 while NFLX scores 10.0/10.

Which is a better buy — MSGS or NFLX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MSGS and NFLX valuations compare?

MSGS at $369.96 and NFLX at $86.36 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MSGS vs NFLX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MSGS

Entertainment

Madison Square Garden Sports Co

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$369.96

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

NFLX

Entertainment

Netflix, Inc.

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$86.36

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MSGS Fair Value	MSGS Upside	NFLX Fair Value	NFLX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.64	-98.5%	$16.14	-81.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$84.06	-74.8%	$29.49	-65.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MSGS vs NFLX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NFLX scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs MSGS's 5.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MSGS currently trades at $369.96 with a QOC of 5.7/10, while NFLX trades at $86.36 with a QOC of 10.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).