MPU vs NFLX

Mega Matrix Inc. vs Netflix, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — NFLX scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs MPU's 5.1/10. MPU trades at $0.33 while NFLX trades at $83.33. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MPU

Entertainment
Mega Matrix Inc.
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
25
LOW
Price
$0.33
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

NFLX

Entertainment
Netflix, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$83.33
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
MPU
Earnings Power Value sees +115.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
NFLX
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MPU vs NFLX — Fair Value Comparison

MPU
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.33 Bayesian …$0.16 (-51.4%) Earnings …$1.13 (+115.3%)
NFLX
$0$33$66$98 Price$83.33 Bayesian …$15.80 (-81.0%) Earnings …$28.99 (-65.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MPU Fair ValueMPU Upside NFLX Fair ValueNFLX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.16 -51.4% $15.80 -81.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.13 +115.3% $28.99 -65.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MPU vs NFLX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

NFLX scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs MPU's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MPU and NFLX Valuations Compare?

At $0.33, MPU trades +51.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.16, while NFLX at $83.33 trades +81.0% above its estimate of $15.80. NFLX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MPU vs NFLX

MPU earns a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 compared to NFLX's 10.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MPU vs NFLX

MPU carries a LOW value trap risk (25/100) while NFLX shows SAFE risk (22/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Entertainment

Both MPU and NFLX operate in Entertainment, which has 50 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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