Is MNR or MTDR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) and Matador Resources Company (MTDR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MNR has a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 while MTDR scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — MNR or MTDR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MNR and MTDR valuations compare?

MNR at $13.28 and MTDR at $53.60 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MNR vs MTDR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MNR

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Mach Natural Resources LP

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$13.28

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MTDR

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Matador Resources Company

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$53.60

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MNR Fair Value	MNR Upside	MTDR Fair Value	MTDR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$53.27	+301.1%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$14.71	+10.8%	$47.25	-11.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$9.70	-27.0%	$50.81	-5.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for MNR vs MTDR — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

MNR vs MTDR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MNR scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs MTDR's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) and Matador Resources Company (MTDR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MNR currently trades at $13.28 with a QOC of 8.6/10, while MTDR trades at $53.60 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).