Is MFA or MPT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) and Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MFA has a Quality of Company score of 7.7/10 while MPT scores 6.0/10.

Which is a better buy — MFA or MPT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MFA and MPT valuations compare?

MFA at $9.60 and MPT at $5.11 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MFA vs MPT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MFA

Real Estate Investment Trusts

MFA Financial, Inc.

Quality

7.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.60

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

MPT

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Medical Properties Trust, Inc.

Quality

6.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.11

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MFA Fair Value	MFA Upside	MPT Fair Value	MPT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$8.47	-11.7%	$3.08	-39.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$16.56	+72.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	—	—	$4.04	-21.0%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MFA vs MPT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MFA scores higher with a 7.7/10 quality rating vs MPT's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) and Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MFA currently trades at $9.60 with a QOC of 7.7/10, while MPT trades at $5.11 with a QOC of 6.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).