MEOH vs TROX

Methanex Corporation vs Tronox Holdings plc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MEOH scores higher on quality with 8.2/10 vs TROX's 6.3/10. MEOH trades at $62.00 while TROX trades at $8.52. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MEOH

Chemicals
Methanex Corporation
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$62.00
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

TROX

Chemicals
Tronox Holdings plc
Quality
6.3
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$8.52
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
MEOH
Bayesian DCF sees +80.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TROX
Markov DDM sees +273.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MEOH vs TROX — Fair Value Comparison

MEOH
$0$44$88$132 Price$62.00 Bayesian …$111.57 (+80.0%) Earnings …$69.68 (+12.4%)
TROX
$0$13$25$38 Price$8.52 Bayesian …$1.94 (-77.3%) Markov DDM$31.82 (+273.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MEOH Fair ValueMEOH Upside TROX Fair ValueTROX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $111.57 +80.0% $1.94 -77.3%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $69.68 +12.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $43.02 -30.6% $31.82 +273.5%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MEOH vs TROX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MEOH scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs TROX's 6.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MEOH and TROX Valuations Compare?

At $62.00, MEOH trades +80.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $111.57, while TROX at $8.52 trades +77.3% above its estimate of $1.94. MEOH shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MEOH vs TROX

MEOH earns a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 compared to TROX's 6.3/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MEOH vs TROX

MEOH carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while TROX shows SAFE risk (8/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Chemicals

Both MEOH and TROX operate in Chemicals, which has 18 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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