MEOH vs RYAM

Methanex Corporation vs Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MEOH scores higher on quality with 8.2/10 vs RYAM's 6.6/10. MEOH trades at $62.00 while RYAM trades at $8.70. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MEOH

Chemicals
Methanex Corporation
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$62.00
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

RYAM

Chemicals
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc
Quality
6.6
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$8.70
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
MEOH
Bayesian DCF sees +80.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
RYAM
Dynamic NAV sees +48.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MEOH vs RYAM — Fair Value Comparison

MEOH
$0$44$88$132 Price$62.00 Bayesian …$111.57 (+80.0%) Earnings …$69.68 (+12.4%)
RYAM
$0$5$10$15 Price$8.70 Bayesian …$4.06 (-53.4%) Dynamic N…$12.90 (+48.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MEOH Fair ValueMEOH Upside RYAM Fair ValueRYAM Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $111.57 +80.0% $4.06 -53.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $69.68 +12.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $48.53 -21.7% $12.90 +48.3%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MEOH vs RYAM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MEOH scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs RYAM's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MEOH and RYAM Valuations Compare?

At $62.00, MEOH trades +80.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $111.57, while RYAM at $8.70 trades +53.4% above its estimate of $4.06. MEOH shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MEOH vs RYAM

MEOH earns a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 compared to RYAM's 6.6/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MEOH vs RYAM

MEOH carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while RYAM shows SAFE risk (18/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Chemicals

Both MEOH and RYAM operate in Chemicals, which has 18 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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