MEOH vs OLN

Methanex Corporation vs Olin Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MEOH scores higher on quality with 8.2/10 vs OLN's 4.5/10. MEOH trades at $62.00 while OLN trades at $25.93. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MEOH

Chemicals
Methanex Corporation
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$62.00
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

OLN

Chemicals
Olin Corporation
Quality
4.5
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$25.93
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
MEOH
Bayesian DCF sees +80.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OLN
Bayesian DCF sees +317.4% upside
Quality 4.5/10 — below average

MEOH vs OLN — Fair Value Comparison

MEOH
$0$44$88$132 Price$62.00 Bayesian …$111.57 (+80.0%) Earnings …$69.68 (+12.4%)
OLN
$0$43$85$128 Price$25.93 Bayesian …$108.22 (+317.4%) Earnings …$44.03 (+53.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MEOH Fair ValueMEOH Upside OLN Fair ValueOLN Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $111.57 +80.0% $108.22 +317.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $69.68 +12.4% $44.03 +53.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

MEOH vs OLN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MEOH scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs OLN's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MEOH and OLN Valuations Compare?

At $62.00, MEOH trades +80.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $111.57, while OLN at $25.93 trades +317.4% below its estimate of $108.22. OLN shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MEOH vs OLN

MEOH earns a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 compared to OLN's 4.5/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MEOH vs OLN

MEOH carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while OLN shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Chemicals

Both MEOH and OLN operate in Chemicals, which has 18 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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