Is MDLZ or SMPL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) and The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MDLZ has a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 while SMPL scores 9.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MDLZ or SMPL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MDLZ and SMPL valuations compare?

MDLZ at $61.17 and SMPL at $11.52 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MDLZ vs SMPL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MDLZ

Food and Kindred Products

Mondelez International, Inc.

Quality

7.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$61.17

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

SMPL

Food and Kindred Products

The Simply Good Foods Company

Quality

9.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$11.52

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MDLZ Fair Value	MDLZ Upside	SMPL Fair Value	SMPL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$22.61	-63.0%	$24.41	+111.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.38	-84.7%	$14.82	+28.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MDLZ vs SMPL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SMPL scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs MDLZ's 7.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) and The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MDLZ currently trades at $61.17 with a QOC of 7.9/10, while SMPL trades at $11.52 with a QOC of 9.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).