Is MDGL or MDWD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) and MediWound Ltd. (MDWD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MDGL has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while MDWD scores 1.8/10.

Which is a better buy — MDGL or MDWD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MDGL and MDWD valuations compare?

MDGL at $515.96 and MDWD at $14.56 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MDGL vs MDWD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MDGL

Biotechnology

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$515.96

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

MDWD

Biotechnology

MediWound Ltd.

Quality

1.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$14.56

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MDGL Fair Value	MDGL Upside	MDWD Fair Value	MDWD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$174.43	-66.2%	$2.88	-80.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$237.47	-53.7%	$1.08	-93.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MDGL vs MDWD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MDGL scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs MDWD's 1.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) and MediWound Ltd. (MDWD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MDGL currently trades at $515.96 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while MDWD trades at $14.56 with a QOC of 1.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).