Is MC or MS more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Moelis & Company (MC) and Morgan Stanley (MS) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MC has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while MS scores 7.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MC or MS?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MC and MS valuations compare?

MC at $66.85 and MS at $203.79 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MC vs MS Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MC

Capital Markets

Moelis & Company

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$66.85

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MS

Capital Markets

Morgan Stanley

Quality

7.4

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$203.79

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MC Fair Value	MC Upside	MS Fair Value	MS Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$88.02	+31.7%	$8.36	-95.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$13.83	-79.3%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$11.61	-82.6%	$27.78	-86.4%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MC vs MS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MS scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs MC's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Moelis & Company (MC) and Morgan Stanley (MS) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MC currently trades at $66.85 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while MS trades at $203.79 with a QOC of 7.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).