Is MAA or MDV more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) and Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MAA has a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 while MDV scores 6.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MAA or MDV?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MAA and MDV valuations compare?

MAA at $129.07 and MDV at $18.16 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MAA vs MDV Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MAA

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Mid-America Apartment Communiti

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$129.07

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MDV

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$18.16

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MAA Fair Value	MAA Upside	MDV Fair Value	MDV Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$43.74	-66.1%	$11.32	-37.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.32	-92.8%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$136.29	+5.6%	$13.23	-27.1%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MAA vs MDV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MAA scores higher with a 7.2/10 quality rating vs MDV's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) and Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MAA currently trades at $129.07 with a QOC of 7.2/10, while MDV trades at $18.16 with a QOC of 6.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).