LPX vs NPKI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — NPKI scores higher on quality with 8.0/10 vs LPX's 4.7/10. LPX trades at $73.87 while NPKI trades at $14.59. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

LPX

Building Products & Equipment

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

18

SAFE

Price

$73.87

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VS

NPKI

Building Products & Equipment

NPK International Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

19

SAFE

Price

$14.59

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

LPX

2 models active

Quality 4.7/10 — below average

NPKI

2 models active

Limited to 2/13 visible models

LPX vs NPKI — Fair Value Comparison

LPX

NPKI

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LPX Fair Value	LPX Upside	NPKI Fair Value	NPKI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$20.85	-71.8%	$3.29	-77.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$14.92	-79.8%	$1.96	-86.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

LPX vs NPKI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

NPKI scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs LPX's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do LPX and NPKI Valuations Compare?

At $73.87, LPX trades +71.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.85, while NPKI at $14.59 trades +77.5% above its estimate of $3.29. NPKI shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: LPX vs NPKI

LPX earns a Quality of Company score of 4.7/10 compared to NPKI's 8.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: LPX vs NPKI

LPX carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while NPKI shows SAFE risk (19/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Building Products & Equipment

Both LPX and NPKI operate in Building Products & Equipment, which has 36 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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LPX

View Full Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Analysis →

NPKI

View Full NPK International Inc. Analysis →