LPRO vs MA

Open Lending Corporation vs Mastercard Incorporated — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MA scores higher on quality with 8.3/10 vs LPRO's 7.2/10. LPRO trades at $2.48 while MA trades at $477.68. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

LPRO

Credit Services
Open Lending Corporation
Quality
7.2
out of 10
Value Trap
32
LOW
Price
$2.48
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

MA

Credit Services
Mastercard Incorporated
Quality
8.3
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$477.68
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
LPRO
Earnings Power Value sees +337.9% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MA
Quality Score 8.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

LPRO vs MA — Fair Value Comparison

LPRO
$0$3$6$9 Price$2.48 Bayesian …$5.27 (+112.3%) Earnings …$7.75 (+337.9%)
MA
$0$188$376$564 Price$477.68 Bayesian …$325.88 (-31.8%) Earnings …$139.94 (-70.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType LPRO Fair ValueLPRO Upside MA Fair ValueMA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $5.27 +112.3% $325.88 -31.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $7.75 +337.9% $139.94 -70.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

LPRO vs MA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MA scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs LPRO's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do LPRO and MA Valuations Compare?

At $2.48, LPRO trades +112.3% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $5.27, while MA at $477.68 trades +31.8% above its estimate of $325.88. LPRO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: LPRO vs MA

LPRO earns a Quality of Company score of 7.2/10 compared to MA's 8.3/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: LPRO vs MA

LPRO carries a LOW value trap risk (32/100) while MA shows LOW risk (31/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Credit Services

Both LPRO and MA operate in Credit Services, which has 52 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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