Is KTOS or LMT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Kratos Defense & Security Solut (KTOS) and Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. KTOS has a Quality of Company score of 8.0/10 while LMT scores 8.4/10.

Which is a better buy — KTOS or LMT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do KTOS and LMT valuations compare?

KTOS at $65.19 and LMT at $537.21 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

KTOS vs LMT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

KTOS

Aerospace & Defense

Kratos Defense & Security Solut

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$65.19

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

LMT

Aerospace & Defense

Lockheed Martin Corporation

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$537.21

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	KTOS Fair Value	KTOS Upside	LMT Fair Value	LMT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.59	-93.0%	$334.13	-37.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$6.44	-90.1%	$126.62	-76.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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KTOS vs LMT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LMT scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs KTOS's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Kratos Defense & Security Solut (KTOS) and Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

KTOS currently trades at $65.19 with a QOC of 8.0/10, while LMT trades at $537.21 with a QOC of 8.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).