KSS vs M

Kohl's Corporation vs Macy's Inc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — M scores higher on quality with 7.1/10 vs KSS's 6.8/10. KSS trades at $15.85 while M trades at $21.67. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

KSS

Department Stores
Kohl's Corporation
Quality
6.8
out of 10
Value Trap
29
LOW
Price
$15.85
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

M

Department Stores
Macy's Inc
Quality
7.1
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$21.67
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
KSS
EROIC Spread sees +54.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
M
Bayesian DCF sees +214.2% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

KSS vs M — Fair Value Comparison

KSS
$0$10$19$29 Price$15.85 Earnings …$9.68 (-39.0%) EROIC Spr…$24.53 (+54.8%)
M
$0$27$54$80 Price$21.67 Bayesian …$68.09 (+214.2%) Earnings …$8.03 (-59.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType KSS Fair ValueKSS Upside M Fair ValueM Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $68.09 +214.2%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $9.68 -39.0% $8.03 -59.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $24.53 +54.8% $2.39 -88.4%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

KSS vs M — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

M scores higher with a 7.1/10 quality rating vs KSS's 6.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do KSS and M Valuations Compare?

KSS currently trades at $15.85 while M trades at $21.67. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: KSS vs M

KSS earns a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 compared to M's 7.1/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: KSS vs M

KSS carries a LOW value trap risk (29/100) while M shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Department Stores

Both KSS and M operate in Department Stores, which has 4 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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