Is JCI or LPX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Johnson Controls International (JCI) and Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. JCI has a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 while LPX scores 4.7/10.

Which is a better buy — JCI or LPX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do JCI and LPX valuations compare?

JCI at $136.15 and LPX at $76.09 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

JCI vs LPX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

JCI

Building Products & Equipment

Johnson Controls International

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$136.15

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

LPX

Building Products & Equipment

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$76.09

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	JCI Fair Value	JCI Upside	LPX Fair Value	LPX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$35.09	-74.2%	$21.97	-71.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$15.34	-88.7%	$15.24	-80.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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JCI vs LPX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

JCI scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs LPX's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Johnson Controls International (JCI) and Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

JCI currently trades at $136.15 with a QOC of 8.5/10, while LPX trades at $76.09 with a QOC of 4.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).