Is IHG or MGM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) and MGM Resorts International (MGM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. IHG has a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 while MGM scores 5.8/10.

Which is a better buy — IHG or MGM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do IHG and MGM valuations compare?

IHG at $154.88 and MGM at $43.67 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

IHG vs MGM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

IHG

Hotels & Motels

Intercontinental Hotels Group

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$154.88

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MGM

Hotels & Motels

MGM Resorts International

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$43.67

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	IHG Fair Value	IHG Upside	MGM Fair Value	MGM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$58.41	-62.3%	$78.52	+103.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$102.01	-29.9%	$50.58	+31.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for IHG vs MGM — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

IHG vs MGM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

MGM scores higher with a 5.8/10 quality rating vs IHG's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) and MGM Resorts International (MGM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

IHG currently trades at $154.88 with a QOC of 2.1/10, while MGM trades at $43.67 with a QOC of 5.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).