Is ICL or SEED more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) and Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ICL has a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 while SEED scores 5.2/10.

Which is a better buy — ICL or SEED?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ICL and SEED valuations compare?

ICL at $6.75 and SEED at $1.13 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ICL vs SEED Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ICL

Agricultural Inputs

ICL Group Ltd.

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$6.75

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

SEED

Agricultural Inputs

Origin Agritech Limited

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.13

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ICL Fair Value	ICL Upside	SEED Fair Value	SEED Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.28	-66.2%	$0.46	-59.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.93	-83.4%	$0.74	-36.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ICL vs SEED — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SEED scores higher with a 5.2/10 quality rating vs ICL's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) and Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ICL currently trades at $6.75 with a QOC of 2.1/10, while SEED trades at $1.13 with a QOC of 5.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).