Is HPK or RIG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HPK has a Quality of Company score of 7.3/10 while RIG scores 6.4/10.

Which is a better buy — HPK or RIG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HPK and RIG valuations compare?

HPK at $7.10 and RIG at $6.19 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HPK vs RIG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HPK

Drilling Oil & Gas Wells

HighPeak Energy, Inc.

Quality

7.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$7.10

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

RIG

Drilling Oil & Gas Wells

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$6.19

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HPK Fair Value	HPK Upside	RIG Fair Value	RIG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.89	-85.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$12.16	+71.3%	$0.31	-95.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$3.72	-47.6%	$1.06	-82.6%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HPK vs RIG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HPK scores higher with a 7.3/10 quality rating vs RIG's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HPK currently trades at $7.10 with a QOC of 7.3/10, while RIG trades at $6.19 with a QOC of 6.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).