Is HPK or PTEN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (PTEN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HPK has a Quality of Company score of 7.3/10 while PTEN scores 4.3/10.

Which is a better buy — HPK or PTEN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HPK and PTEN valuations compare?

HPK at $7.10 and PTEN at $11.21 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HPK vs PTEN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HPK

Drilling Oil & Gas Wells

HighPeak Energy, Inc.

Quality

7.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$7.10

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

PTEN

Drilling Oil & Gas Wells

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.

Quality

4.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$11.21

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HPK Fair Value	HPK Upside	PTEN Fair Value	PTEN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$2.75	-75.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$12.16	+71.3%	$5.35	-52.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$3.72	-47.6%	$35.38	+215.6%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for HPK vs PTEN — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

HPK vs PTEN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HPK scores higher with a 7.3/10 quality rating vs PTEN's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) and Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (PTEN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HPK currently trades at $7.10 with a QOC of 7.3/10, while PTEN trades at $11.21 with a QOC of 4.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).