Is HOVNP or LGIH more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep (HOVNP) and LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HOVNP has a Quality of Company score of 7.7/10 while LGIH scores 6.6/10.

Which is a better buy — HOVNP or LGIH?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HOVNP and LGIH valuations compare?

HOVNP at $20.90 and LGIH at $47.81 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HOVNP vs LGIH Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HOVNP

Operative Builders

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep

Quality

7.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$20.90

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

LGIH

Operative Builders

LGI Homes, Inc.

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$47.81

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HOVNP Fair Value	HOVNP Upside	LGIH Fair Value	LGIH Upside
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.96	-95.4%	$26.35	-45.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$88.47	+323.3%	$40.74	-14.8%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HOVNP vs LGIH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HOVNP scores higher with a 7.7/10 quality rating vs LGIH's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep (HOVNP) and LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HOVNP currently trades at $20.90 with a QOC of 7.7/10, while LGIH trades at $47.81 with a QOC of 6.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).