HON vs OTTR

Honeywell International Inc. vs Otter Tail Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — HON scores higher on quality with 8.6/10 vs OTTR's 7.6/10. HON trades at $235.23 while OTTR trades at $85.80. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

HON

Conglomerates
Honeywell International Inc.
Quality
8.6
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$235.23
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

OTTR

Conglomerates
Otter Tail Corporation
Quality
7.6
out of 10
Value Trap
10
SAFE
Price
$85.80
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
HON
Quality Score 8.6/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OTTR
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

HON vs OTTR — Fair Value Comparison

HON
$0$93$185$278 Price$235.23 Bayesian …$53.04 (-77.4%) Earnings …$60.61 (-74.2%)
OTTR
$0$34$67$101 Price$85.80 Bayesian …$41.16 (-52.0%) Earnings …$48.67 (-43.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType HON Fair ValueHON Upside OTTR Fair ValueOTTR Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $53.04 -77.4% $41.16 -52.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $60.61 -74.2% $48.67 -43.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

HON vs OTTR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

HON scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs OTTR's 7.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do HON and OTTR Valuations Compare?

At $235.23, HON trades +77.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $53.04, while OTTR at $85.80 trades +52.0% above its estimate of $41.16. HON shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: HON vs OTTR

HON earns a Quality of Company score of 8.6/10 compared to OTTR's 7.6/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: HON vs OTTR

HON carries a SAFE value trap risk (8/100) while OTTR shows SAFE risk (10/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Conglomerates

Both HON and OTTR operate in Conglomerates, which has 25 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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