Is HMY or HYMC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Harmony Gold Mining Company Lim (HMY) and Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat (HYMC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HMY has a Quality of Company score of 9.2/10 while HYMC scores 4.8/10.

Which is a better buy — HMY or HYMC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HMY and HYMC valuations compare?

HMY at $18.26 and HYMC at $33.17 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HMY vs HYMC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HMY

Gold

Harmony Gold Mining Company Lim

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$18.26

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

HYMC

Gold

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat

Quality

4.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$33.17

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HMY Fair Value	HMY Upside	HYMC Fair Value	HYMC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$6.17	-66.2%	$10.27	-69.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$17.80	-2.5%	$15.54	-59.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HMY vs HYMC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HMY scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs HYMC's 4.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Harmony Gold Mining Company Lim (HMY) and Hycroft Mining Holding Corporat (HYMC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HMY currently trades at $18.26 with a QOC of 9.2/10, while HYMC trades at $33.17 with a QOC of 4.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).