Is HLX or NGS more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Helix Energy Solutions Group, I (HLX) and Natural Gas Services Group, Inc (NGS) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HLX has a Quality of Company score of 7.6/10 while NGS scores 8.7/10.

Which is a better buy — HLX or NGS?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HLX and NGS valuations compare?

HLX at $9.35 and NGS at $39.30 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HLX vs NGS Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HLX

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC

Helix Energy Solutions Group, I

Quality

7.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$9.35

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

NGS

Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc

Quality

8.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$39.30

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HLX Fair Value	HLX Upside	NGS Fair Value	NGS Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.66	-39.5%	$63.25	+60.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.97	-14.8%	$5.07	-88.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HLX vs NGS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NGS scores higher with a 8.7/10 quality rating vs HLX's 7.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Helix Energy Solutions Group, I (HLX) and Natural Gas Services Group, Inc (NGS) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HLX currently trades at $9.35 with a QOC of 7.6/10, while NGS trades at $39.30 with a QOC of 8.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).