HLN vs IRWD

Haleon plc vs Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — HLN scores higher on quality with 9.0/10 vs IRWD's 7.7/10. HLN trades at $8.70 while IRWD trades at $3.28. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

HLN

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Haleon plc
Quality
9.0
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$8.70
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

IRWD

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Quality
7.7
out of 10
Value Trap
39
LOW
Price
$3.28
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
HLN
Bayesian DCF sees +33.6% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
IRWD
Earnings Power Value sees +70.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

HLN vs IRWD — Fair Value Comparison

HLN
$0$5$9$14 Price$8.70 Bayesian …$11.63 (+33.6%) Earnings …$6.90 (-20.6%)
IRWD
$0$2$4$7 Price$3.28 Earnings …$5.58 (+70.1%) EROIC Spr…$4.81 (+46.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType HLN Fair ValueHLN Upside IRWD Fair ValueIRWD Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $11.63 +33.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $6.90 -20.6% $5.58 +70.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $5.73 -34.2% $4.81 +46.8%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

HLN vs IRWD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

HLN scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs IRWD's 7.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do HLN and IRWD Valuations Compare?

HLN currently trades at $8.70 while IRWD trades at $3.28. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: HLN vs IRWD

HLN earns a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 compared to IRWD's 7.7/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: HLN vs IRWD

Review the value trap analysis for both HLN and IRWD to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Both HLN and IRWD operate in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic, which has 79 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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