Is HLMN or SWK more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HLMN has a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 while SWK scores 6.5/10.

Which is a better buy — HLMN or SWK?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HLMN and SWK valuations compare?

HLMN at $7.46 and SWK at $79.42 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HLMN vs SWK Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HLMN

Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Hillman Solutions Corp.

Quality

7.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$7.46

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

SWK

Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$79.42

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HLMN Fair Value	HLMN Upside	SWK Fair Value	SWK Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.25	-96.6%	$4.83	-93.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$5.18	-30.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$78.15	+2.0%

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HLMN vs SWK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HLMN scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs SWK's 6.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HLMN currently trades at $7.46 with a QOC of 7.4/10, while SWK trades at $79.42 with a QOC of 6.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).