Is HLIO or MWA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO) and MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. HLIO has a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 while MWA scores 6.6/10.

Which is a better buy — HLIO or MWA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do HLIO and MWA valuations compare?

HLIO at $83.09 and MWA at $25.21 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

HLIO vs MWA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

HLIO

Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products

Helios Technologies, Inc.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$83.09

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MWA

Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products

MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$25.21

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	HLIO Fair Value	HLIO Upside	MWA Fair Value	MWA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$40.23	-51.6%	$6.70	-73.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$28.69	-65.5%	$11.45	-54.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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HLIO vs MWA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HLIO scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs MWA's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO) and MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

HLIO currently trades at $83.09 with a QOC of 8.2/10, while MWA trades at $25.21 with a QOC of 6.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).