HFFG vs SYY

HF Foods Group Inc. vs Sysco Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — SYY scores higher on quality with 8.5/10 vs HFFG's 4.8/10. HFFG trades at $1.87 while SYY trades at $74.10. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

HFFG

Food Distribution
HF Foods Group Inc.
Quality
4.8
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$1.87
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

SYY

Food Distribution
Sysco Corporation
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$74.10
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
HFFG
Earnings Power Value sees +249.1% upside
Quality 4.8/10 — below average
SYY
Quality Score 8.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

HFFG vs SYY — Fair Value Comparison

HFFG
$0$3$5$8 Price$1.87 Bayesian …$0.35 (-81.5%) Earnings …$6.60 (+249.1%)
SYY
$0$29$58$87 Price$74.10 Bayesian …$53.45 (-27.9%) Earnings …$10.96 (-85.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType HFFG Fair ValueHFFG Upside SYY Fair ValueSYY Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.35 -81.5% $53.45 -27.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $6.60 +249.1% $10.96 -85.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

HFFG vs SYY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

SYY scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs HFFG's 4.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do HFFG and SYY Valuations Compare?

At $1.87, HFFG trades +81.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.35, while SYY at $74.10 trades +27.9% above its estimate of $53.45. HFFG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: HFFG vs SYY

HFFG earns a Quality of Company score of 4.8/10 compared to SYY's 8.5/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: HFFG vs SYY

HFFG carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while SYY shows SAFE risk (18/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Food Distribution

Both HFFG and SYY operate in Food Distribution, which has 12 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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