Is GTN or MDIA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) and Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GTN has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while MDIA scores 4.2/10.

Which is a better buy — GTN or MDIA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GTN and MDIA valuations compare?

GTN at $4.17 and MDIA at $0.90 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GTN vs MDIA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GTN

Broadcasting

Gray Media, Inc.

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.17

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

MDIA

Broadcasting

Mediaco Holding Inc.

Quality

4.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$0.90

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GTN Fair Value	GTN Upside	MDIA Fair Value	MDIA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.28	-93.1%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$10.33	+82.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$10.51	+152.1%	$0.14	-84.4%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.27	-70.1%

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GTN vs MDIA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

GTN scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs MDIA's 4.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) and Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GTN currently trades at $4.17 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while MDIA trades at $0.90 with a QOC of 4.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).