Is GSHD or NP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) and Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GSHD has a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 while NP scores 6.6/10.

Which is a better buy — GSHD or NP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GSHD and NP valuations compare?

GSHD at $35.23 and NP at $27.91 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GSHD vs NP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GSHD

Insurance Brokers

Goosehead Insurance, Inc.

Quality

8.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$35.23

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

NP

Insurance Brokers

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$27.91

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GSHD Fair Value	GSHD Upside	NP Fair Value	NP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$23.39	-33.6%	$1.82	-93.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$8.15	-76.9%	$0.43	-98.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GSHD vs NP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

GSHD scores higher with a 8.8/10 quality rating vs NP's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) and Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GSHD currently trades at $35.23 with a QOC of 8.8/10, while NP trades at $27.91 with a QOC of 6.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).