Is GRFS or LLY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GRFS has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while LLY scores 10.0/10.

Which is a better buy — GRFS or LLY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GRFS and LLY valuations compare?

GRFS at $7.98 and LLY at $1126.80 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GRFS vs LLY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GRFS

Drug Manufacturers - General

Grifols, S.A.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$7.98

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

LLY

Drug Manufacturers - General

Eli Lilly and Company

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1126.80

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GRFS Fair Value	GRFS Upside	LLY Fair Value	LLY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.36	-70.5%	$118.75	-89.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$3.00	-62.8%	$192.34	-82.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GRFS vs LLY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LLY scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs GRFS's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Grifols, S.A. (GRFS) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GRFS currently trades at $7.98 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while LLY trades at $1126.80 with a QOC of 10.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).