Is GILD or LLY more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GILD has a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 while LLY scores 10.0/10.

Which is a better buy — GILD or LLY?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GILD and LLY valuations compare?

GILD at $136.22 and LLY at $1126.80 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GILD vs LLY Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GILD

Drug Manufacturers - General

Gilead Sciences, Inc.

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$136.22

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

LLY

Drug Manufacturers - General

Eli Lilly and Company

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1126.80

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GILD Fair Value	GILD Upside	LLY Fair Value	LLY Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$76.74	-43.7%	$118.75	-89.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$65.99	-51.6%	$192.34	-82.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GILD vs LLY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

Both GILD and LLY score 10.0/10 on quality. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GILD currently trades at $136.22 with a QOC of 10.0/10, while LLY trades at $1126.80 with a QOC of 10.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).