Is GHM or ITW more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Graham Corporation (GHM) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GHM has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while ITW scores 9.3/10.

Which is a better buy — GHM or ITW?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GHM and ITW valuations compare?

GHM at $100.14 and ITW at $247.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GHM vs ITW Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GHM

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment

Graham Corporation

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$100.14

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

ITW

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

Quality

9.3

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$247.28

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GHM Fair Value	GHM Upside	ITW Fair Value	ITW Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$19.63	-80.4%	$89.32	-63.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.39	-90.6%	$97.10	-60.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GHM vs ITW — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

GHM scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs ITW's 9.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Graham Corporation (GHM) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GHM currently trades at $100.14 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while ITW trades at $247.28 with a QOC of 9.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).