Is GFR or GTE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) and Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GFR has a Quality of Company score of 6.6/10 while GTE scores 6.0/10.

Which is a better buy — GFR or GTE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GFR and GTE valuations compare?

GFR at $5.79 and GTE at $8.04 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GFR vs GTE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GFR

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.79

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

GTE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Gran Tierra Energy Inc.

Quality

6.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$8.04

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GFR Fair Value	GFR Upside	GTE Fair Value	GTE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.12	-80.7%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.32	-77.2%	$1.27	-86.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$4.10	-29.2%	$11.81	+46.9%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GFR vs GTE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

GFR scores higher with a 6.6/10 quality rating vs GTE's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) and Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GFR currently trades at $5.79 with a QOC of 6.6/10, while GTE trades at $8.04 with a QOC of 6.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).