Is GEO or IBP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) and Installed Building Products, In (IBP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. GEO has a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 while IBP scores 10.0/10.

Which is a better buy — GEO or IBP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do GEO and IBP valuations compare?

GEO at $22.67 and IBP at $209.98 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

GEO vs IBP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

GEO

General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$22.67

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

IBP

General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs

Installed Building Products, In

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$209.98

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	GEO Fair Value	GEO Upside	IBP Fair Value	IBP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$6.23	-72.5%	$163.79	-22.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.86	-95.4%	$49.36	-76.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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GEO vs IBP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

IBP scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs GEO's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) and Installed Building Products, In (IBP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

GEO currently trades at $22.67 with a QOC of 8.2/10, while IBP trades at $209.98 with a QOC of 10.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).